Thursday, November 23, 2017

Iceland October 2017

Image result for renault zoe in Iceland


26% Share in October!

With the market growing three-fold in October, and last month PEV share reaching 26%(!) share, sales are flying through the ceiling, this year sales are jumping at 2.472 units, up 215%, with the market share at a record 13%.

This is only the second market to reach the two digits and the mainstream market, after Norway. At this pace, i wouldn't be surprised if the market share reached some 13% 15% by year end.

At this pace, expect this market to reach 50% share in 2021...Outlandish? Maybe, but i believe it's possible. 

Looking at the models ranking, the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV is firm in the leadership, with the remaining podium positions also steady, so we have to go down to Fifth Palce to see some action, with the VW e-Golf climbing to #5, same position as last year.

The Rookie of the Year Renault Zoe returned to #7 and Best Seller of its class (B-Segment/Subcompact), while the BMW 330e (8 units, best deliveries month) climbed to #16.

Down below, two new additions are already climbing the success ladder, with the Kia Niro PHEV jumping to #22, thanks to 14 units, while the #24 Volvo XC60 PHEV did even better, delivering 18 units in its first full sales month. 

In the brands ranking, Mitsubishi (27%) is in the leadership, followed by the #2 Nissan (21%) and #3 Volvo (11%), but with Volkswagen (9%) and BMW (8%) on the lookout for a podium seat.

Pl
Iceland
Oct.
YTD
%
'16Pl
1
2
3
4
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Nissan Leaf
Volvo XC90 T8
Audi A3 e-Tron
72
59
50
17
658
485
224
103
27
20
9
4
1
2
5
11
5
Volkswagen e-Golf
17
79
3
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
12
14
14
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Renault Zoe
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Mercedes GLC350e
Kia Optima PHEV
Audi Q7 e-Tron
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
Porsche Cayenne Plug-In
BMW i3
Mercedes GLE500e
15
8
4
12
7

1
8
3
5
78
75
74
60
53
46
45
45
43
43
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
N/A
4
12
N/A
10
15
12
14
9
16
17
18
19
BMW 330e
BMW X5 40e
Nissan e-NV200 / Evalia
Kia Soul EV
8
3
3

41
39
35
33
2
2
1
1
N/A
14
13
 11
20
Volvo V60 Plug-In

31
1
N/A
21
22
Mercedes C350e
Kia Niro PHEV

14
27
22
1
1
22
N/A
23
24
24

Mercedes B250eHyundai Ioniq Electric
Volvo XC60 PHEV
Others
2

18
10
21
19
19
74
1
1
1
3
24
N/A
N/A

TOTAL
336
2.472
100


Regular Hybrids + Plug-ins Ranking


Pl
Model
Oct. Sales  
1
Mitsu. Outlander PHEV 
72
2
Nissan Leaf
59
3
Volvo XC90 PHEV
50
4
Toyota Yaris Hybrid
38
5
Toyota RAV4 Hybrid
24

In a market that reached 26% share in August, plug-ins are becoming more and more synonym with best sellers, despite not having access to the models ranking, we do have access to regular hybrid sales. 

If we add regular hybrids to plug-ins, the high share of these last ones is noticeable, as regular hybrids are pushed out of the podium, with their two representatives, being only Fourth and Fifth.

Looking at the Top 5 best sellers, we see representatives of each technology, with two PHEVs (#1 Outlander PHEV and #3 Volvo XC90 PHEV), one BEV (#2 Nissan Leaf) and two HEVs (#4 Yaris Hybrid & #5 RAV4 Hybrid),.

As plug-ins continue to increase share, expect at some point in the future this Top 5 to be 100% PEV.

Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Finland October 2017

Image result for Porsche Panamera vs Volvo S90
Volvo: Now in Third

Volvo Month


Finland has become one of my favorite markets to report, because news are always good, and October is no exception, with a total of 281 EV's sold, up 107% regarding the same month last year, with YTD numbers doubling the 2016 result, with the EV Share up again to a record 2,3%.

Looking at the models ranking, the Mercedes GLC350e is the unchallenged ruler, rising from #15 in 2016 to an undisputed leadership (18% share), with 415 units, shattering the previous record of 266 registrations, made by the Volvo XC90 PHEV last year. And there's still two months to go...

If the runner-up VW Passat GTE has a precious advantage over the competition to make it the favorite to win Silver, the Bronze medal is still up in the air, with three models separated by just 13 units, the BMW 530e is the current holder, thanks to a good sales mommentum, but with cold weather coming, the #5 Audi Q7 e-Tron (13 units behind), and especially the #4 Volvo XC90 PHEV (-1 unit) can get a sales boost, thanks to their SUV abilities, and surpass the German Sedan.

Volvo had a good performance in October, doing a 1-2 win last month, thanks to the arrival of its XC60 PHEV, grabbing 59 deliveries in its only second month on the market (Will it be the 2018 Best Seller?), while its larger sibling, the XC90 PHEV, was second, with 30 sales, its best result since January.

Looking at the manufacturers ranking, Mercedes (21%) is in the lead, followed closely by BMW (Also 21%) in Second, with Volvo (11%) surpassing Volkswagen (11%) in the race for Third Place, with Tesla (9%) still hoping to charge forward in December and steal the Bronze medal in the last minute.

PlFinland
Oct.
 YTD '17
   %
Pl '16
1
2
3
4
Mercedes GLC350e
Volkswagen Passat GTE
BMW 530e 
Volvo XC90 T8
28
25
26
30
415
184
146
145
18
8
6
6
15
2
N/A
1
5Audi Q7 e-Tron
3
133
6
9
6
7
Tesla Model S
BMW 330e
5
6
112
107
5
5
5
3
8BMW 225xe Active Tourer7984
7
9
10
11
12
12
14
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Tesla Model X
Volvo XC60 PHEV
Porsche Panamera PHEV
Nissan Leaf
BMW X5 40e
2
4
59
8

8
88
82
79
65
63
61
4
4
3
3
3
3
6
14
N/A
N/A
7
4
15Volvo S/V90 PHEV
16
56
2
N/A
16
17
18
19
20

Hyundai Ioniq Electric
Mercedes E350e
Kia Optima PHEV
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Renault Zoe
Others
2
3
2
10

37
52
49
48
47
41
265
2
2
2
2
2
10

TOTAL2812.321 100


Source: trafi.fi

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Belgium October 2017

Image result for bmw x5 phev in belgium

BMW shines in Hot Market

Another positive month in October, with Belgians registering 1.153 passenger PEVs, up 27% YoY, pulling the EV Share to a record 2.7%.

Too bad then that PHEV's continue to be the Trend du Jour, with 82% of all PEV registrations being Plug-in hybrids, owning the top seven positions.

Belgians continue fancying premium plug-in hybrid SUV's, with the podium positions occupied by three models from that category, as the Volvo XC90 PHEV changed places with the BMW 225xe Act.Tourer, with the Swede now wearing the Bronze Medal.

The BMW 530e is now #5 and it won't be surprising to see it knock on #3 by year end, while the  Second Generation Porsche Panamera PHEV, #2 in October with 109 deliveries, climbed to #7.

Two recently arrived SUV's are jumping positions, with the Mini Countryman PHEV now #13, thanks to 69 deliveries, while the Volvo XC60 PHEV went up seven positions, now at #23.

With talks of PHEV incentives ending next year, we could see a PHEV sales surge in the last two months of the year, following the path that neighboring Holland did already...

In the manufacturers ranking, last year winner BMW is steady in the leadership, with 35%(!) share, while Mercedes (19%) benefits from the popularity of its midsize GLC SUV to be Second, and the Third Placed is being hardly fought between Porsche and Volvo, both with 9% share, and Tesla (8%).


PlBelgiumOct.YTD%'16Pl
1Mercedes GLC350e1641.6261312
2BMW X5 40e691.245102
3
4
5
Volvo XC90 PHEV
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
BMW 530e
86
45
83
749
728
705
6
6
6
1
6
N/A
6
7
BMW 330e
Porsche Panamera PHEV
36
109
690
555
6
5
5
20
8BMW i37151948
9Tesla Model S1849944
10
11
Audi Q7 e-Tron
Porsche Cayenne PHEV
43
26
497
435
4
4
10
3
12Tesla Model X27423416
13Mini Countryman PHEV693793N/A
14
15
Nissan Leaf
BMW 740e
14
24
376
309
3
3
7
17
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
Renault Zoe
Mercedes GLE500e
Mercedes C350e
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Mercedes E350e
Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV
Toyota Prius PHEV
Volvo XC60 PHEV 
19
14
14
28
12
14
13
52
246
223
206
204
133
127
110
104
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
14
9
11
13
N/A
15
24
N/A
24
24
26
Audi A3 e-Tron
Volkswagen e-Golf
Volkswagen Golf GTE
9
3
15
101
101
99
1
1
1
19
21
22 18
27
28
29
30

Volvo S/V90 PHEV
Mercedes S500e
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Hyundai Ioniq Electric
Others
18
1
4
2
51
96
83
63
54
338
1
1
1
0
3
N/A
25
18
35


TOTAL1.15312.023100


Monday, November 20, 2017

Portugal October 2017 (Updated)

Image result for Renault Zoe Portugal


BMW 530e, #1 in October, Renault Zoe #1 YTD

PEV Sales continue on the rise in Portugal, with sales hitting a new record in October, with 437 registrations (Up 175%), and sales in 2017 up 109% YoY to 3.095 units, with the PEV share at a record 1.7%, there's good reasons to be optimistic and see maybe registrations reach 4.000 units this year.

After years of underwelming performances, the Renault Zoe is living up to expectations, leading the market with 574 registrations, but this month the best seller was the BMW 530e, with 77 deliveries, a company-car friendly model, as companies have VAT-exemption when buying plug-ins up to a certain price.

With a new Leaf landing in a few months, it will be interesting to see if the Japanese hatchback regains the #1 spot.

A popular brand is BMW, with three models in the Top 5, with the 530e jumping to Fifth Place and on its way to add the best selling PHEV title to the Rookie Of The Year award. 

This is one of the few markets where the Mercedes C350e still outsells its GLC350e SUV-relative, but with the GLC climbing to #6, becoming the new best selling SUV, and only 11 units behind the C-Class, the Mercedes AWD model might still end the year as the best selling three-pointed-star model.

Further down the ranking, the Smart brand BEVs had a great official landing, jumping into the Top 30, with the new Fortwo ED scoring more in a month (22) than in its predecessor in its best year (21 units, in 2013). A promising start, let's hope it is followed by further positive performances.

In the manufacturers ranking, BMW is an increasingly stronger leader, with 30% share (Up 1%), followed by Renault (18%, down 1%) and Mercedes (14%, down 2%).

Pl
Portugal
Oct.
2017
%
Pl '16
1
2
Renault Zoe
Nissan Leaf
50
11
574
279
18
9
6
1
3BMW 330e 162498
7
4BMW i3
37
226
8
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
11
13
14
14
16
17
18
19
20
20
22
22
24
24
26
27
28
BMW 530e
Mercedes C350e
Mercedes GLC350e
Mitsu. Outlander PHEV
BMW 225xe Active Tourer
Volkswagen Passat GTE
Volvo V60 Plug-In
Mercedes E350e
Toyota Prius PHEV
Kia Soul EV
Volkswagen Golf GTE
Mini Countryman PHEV
Volkswagen e-Golf
BMW X5 40e
Smart Fortwo ED
Hyundai Ioniq Electric
Tesla Model S   e)
Tesla Model X   e)
Smart Forfour ED
BMW 740e
Volvo XC90 PHEV
Audi Q7 e-Tron
Kia Niro PHEV
Porsche Panamera PHEV
77
18
29
23
20
8
11
5
9
3
15
18
7
11
22
2
2
2
16

4
3
8
1
223
197
186
185
152
107
84
78
61
54
54
52
41
35
25
24
24
18
18
17
17
15
14
13
7
6
6
6
5
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
N/A
2
22
3
13
10
5
N/A
27
11
8
N/A
18
10
31
N/A
15
26
N/A
23
28
31
N/A
N/A
29
30

Audi A3 e-Tron
BMW i8
Others

2
7
12
11
50
0
0
2
28
21


TOTAL4373.095100

Source: ACAP


Plug-ins and Regular Hybrids


Pl
Model
Sep. Sales  
1
Toyota Auris Hybrid
120
2
Toyota Yaris Hybrid
103
3
Toyota C-HR Hybrid
84
4
BMW 530e
77
5
Renault Zoe
50



As plug-ins reach new heights, it starts to be interesting to compare them with regular hybrids, a class completely owned by Toyota, which has also grown significantly, as people leave their diesel-addiction for electrified models.

Nevertheless, the Third Place seems attainable, so in the near future the Toyota domination is likely to be dented, bit by bit. 

The Fourth Place of the BMW 530e is a surprise, but it is also another sign that companies are leaving their diesel addiction and going electric.




EV Distribution - Portugal October 2017

Almost two years have passed since the last survey regarding the distribution of EV's in my home country, based on used car websites and other sources, i have updated it, remembre, this should only be seen as an indication of how electric vehicles are distributed across the portuguese territory.

For the information to be easier to understand for people not familiar with the local geography, i have divided the country in seven areas: Northwest (Porto, Aveiro, Braga and Viana do Castelo  districts), Northeast (Bragança, Vila Real, Guarda and Viseu), Center (Coimbra, Castelo Branco, Leiria and Santarém), Lisbon Metropolitan Area (Lisbon and Setubal), South (Portalegre, Evora, Beja and Faro), Azores and Madeira Islands.


 Let's look at the distribution of the sample EV's:


Northwest

Following Lisbon Metro area, this is the second area with most PEV's (33%), the BMW i3 has surpassed the Nissan Leaf as the most popular EV, with a little help from imports, while the Volvo V60 Plug-In continues to be a local success story, being Third in the survey, with more than half of units in Portugal being located here.











Northeast

Known for having the harshest conditions in mainland Portugal, with several 1000mts-plus mountains in the area, cold winters, including sub-sero temperatures and the seasonal snow, while in the summer near-40ºC temperatures are the norm, it would be expected that PHEV's and especially the Outlander PHEV would be popular here. That's not the case, in a small market (4% of total), the most common EV is the Nissan Leaf, with 3 units, followed by the BMW i3 and the Renault Twizy(!). It must be interesting to drive the Twizy in freezing temperatures...







Center


In the transitional North-South area, responsible for 18% of the total stock, the Nissan Leaf is the most popular choice, with PHEV imports being quite popular, as the second most common plug-in in this area is the Opel Ampera, a nameplate that barely was sold in Portugal when new, while the BMW i3 is Third, with a strong prevalence of the Rex version.




 
 
 

 
Lisbon Metropolitan Area


Lisbon is not only the nation's capital, but also the only place where you stumble on EV's everywhere, with 35% of the total plug-in fleet. The most common EV is the Nissan Leaf, followed by the Renault Zoe, a car that has been selling substancially here, and BMW i3. Lisbon also has the most heterogeneous offer, with seemingly every model on sale in Portugal.











South


In this area, most of EV's are concentrated in the tourist-friendly Algarve, with the BMW i3 becoming the most popular choice, while the Outlander PHEV is the second most common plug-in.

The Nissan Leaf, the most common EV in Portugal, here is only Third, possibly due to customers being wary of the Leaf battery-degradation reputation in hot climates.


Azores Islands

Plug-ins are still in their infancy here, with only 2% of the country's PEV stock, with the complete lack of public infrastructure not helping at all, which is a shame, as the mild climate and short distances are good conditions for plug-ins. Anyway, the most common EV here are the BMW i3 and Renault Twizy, both with 2 units.


Madeira Islands

The Madeira EV scene is much more developed than in the Azores, with public infrastructure, including fast-charging and serious investment from local importers, especially Renault. The most common EV here is the Renault Zoe, followed by the Twizy. with the Nissan Leaf being the Third most common EV here.




Conclusions

That the Nissan Leaf is a success story across mainland Portugal, we already knew, but recent sucess story of the Renault Zoe is something new, especially in the Lisbon metro area and in Madeira, while the Mitsu Outlander PHEV is still the most common plug-in hybrid, strangely more popular in the southern areas than in the north, where ice and snow can be a problem. Then again, most people buy SUV's because they "want" one, not because they "need" it...

Teslas are starting to be scattered across the country, but the reality is that EV's are still concentrated around Lisbon and in the NW (Braga-Porto-Aveiro) industrial belt.